Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 58.468530 66.614954 74.980764 84.179689 93.977514 104.070516 115.222886
2025-11-16 46.238291 57.874251 70.407400 84.767521 100.632522 117.504628 136.688277
2025-11-23 37.971884 51.291980 66.184542 83.772265 103.705527 125.359338 150.435118
2025-11-30 32.925552 47.587168 64.514763 85.007982 108.706142 134.870278 165.583938
2025-12-07 29.057223 44.744005 63.393707 86.466827 113.606218 143.972315 180.011680
2025-12-14 24.694307 40.800850 60.565946 85.575531 115.500529 149.425347 190.116208
2025-12-21 20.612617 36.773095 57.279693 83.825364 116.126302 153.207709 198.129450
2025-12-28 19.261180 36.214572 58.212830 87.109323 122.642621 163.751148 213.852702
2026-01-04 17.467100 34.853374 57.977611 88.834444 127.200710 171.943721 226.813155
2026-01-11 15.057083 32.364657 56.087187 88.333023 128.939798 176.726807 235.735731
2026-01-18 12.955255 30.101922 54.332623 87.869737 130.618487 181.355820 244.410715
2026-01-25 11.357851 28.438263 53.271192 88.203801 133.208381 187.017180 254.256682
2026-02-01 9.556098 26.256193 51.379877 87.390987 134.347689 190.952278 262.114099
2026-02-08 8.223240 24.694720 50.267988 87.538982 136.649343 196.265991 271.598534
2026-02-15 6.785880 22.734156 48.435636 86.608740 137.495282 199.743316 278.837870
2026-02-22 6.012134 21.903401 48.226698 87.852075 141.103137 206.587487 290.108727
2026-03-01 5.370056 21.239446 48.220503 89.340805 145.006364 213.783531 301.799555
2026-03-08 4.338256 19.581002 46.557924 88.432497 145.725868 216.996495 308.641884
2026-03-15 3.305079 17.668620 44.350947 86.649855 145.219048 218.625649 313.514602
2026-03-22 3.188412 17.933112 45.707074 89.994675 151.517768 228.783235 328.801356
2026-03-29 2.847613 17.566307 45.981093 91.751373 155.690550 236.268628 340.825102
2026-04-05 2.245019 16.348084 44.739659 91.240803 156.791807 239.861159 348.063164
2026-04-12 1.735331 15.214544 43.562206 90.769044 157.906352 243.443751 355.269985